Assessing India’s carbon credit trading scheme targets

Paper: GS – III, Subject: Environment, Ecology and Disaster Management, Topic: Indian initiatives, efforts and commitments, Issue: Significance of India’s carbon credit trading scheme.

Context:

The Government of India announced GHG emissions intensity targets for eight industrial sectors under the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS).

Key Highlights:

  • Sectoral focus: Focus sectors under the scheme include Aluminium, Cement, Paper & Pulp, Chlor-alkali, Iron & Steel, Textile, Petrochemicals, and Refineries.

India’s PAT Scheme Experience (Perform, Achieve & Trade):

  • Reduce consumption: PAT scheme helped energy-intensive industries reduce consumption through market mechanisms.
  • Energy saving: Entities that saved energy could trade excess savings (energy certificates) with others.
  • Mixed results: Some entities saw increased energy intensity, while others improved.
  • Sector-level patterns: Decline in paper and chlor-alkali while increase in aluminium and cement.
  • When adjusted for output and energy use, overall energy efficiency improved.
  • It shows that market-based incentives can work, but doesn’t confirm whether targets were ambitious or business-as-usual.

Challenges with Sector-Level Focus:

  • Distorted focus: Emissions trading focuses on the aggregate impact, not individual compliance.
  • Diluted national targets: Sector/entity-level reductions though enable financial transfers; they don’t reflect national ambition.
  • Underestimating ambition: Relying only on sectoral data may underestimate ambition if mitigation pathways are uneven.
  • Limited scope: Ambition should be assessed at the economy-wide level, not at individual entity or sector levels.
  • Macro matters: Reductions at the macro level (national level) matter more in an emissions trading framework.
  • Limited ambition: Current Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) targets may not be ambitious enough. Sector-specific targets cannot be directly compared to India’s economy-wide NDC targets (e.g., 2070 net-zero).
  • Emissions Intensity Projections:
  • CO₂ intensity of India’s energy sector is projected to decline by 3.44% annually (2025–2030).
  • Manufacturing sector under Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS): Manufacturing sector emissions are projected to decline by 2.53% annually.
  • Estimated average industrial emissions intensity reduction under Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS): 1.68% annually (2023–2030).

Conclusion:

  • Wider assessments: Economy-wide assessments offer the most accurate benchmark for ambition under carbon markets.
  • Detailed modelling: Need for detailed modelling for sectoral alignment with India’s climate commitments.
  • Prioritizing overall emissions: Future modelling should prioritize overall emissions decline, not just performance of covered sectors.

https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/assessing-indias-carbon-credit-trading-scheme-targets/article69808116.ece

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