Why in News?
India’s trade deficit shrank by 54% to $9.9 billion in August 2025, helped by a surge in merchandise and services exports and a drop in imports. Total exports rose 9.3% year-on-year to $69.2 billion, while imports fell 7% to $79 billion.
Description:
- Trade Deficit = Value of imports > exports of goods.
- It is part of the Balance of Trade (BoT), which itself is a component of the Current Account in BoP.
Types of Deficits:
- Merchandise Trade Deficit – excess of imports of goods.
- Service Trade Balance – may offset the goods deficit (India often runs a service surplus).
- Current Account Deficit (CAD) – includes trade deficit + net income & transfers.
Recent Context (2025):
- India’s monthly trade deficit widened due to:
- High gold imports before the festive season.
- Weak demand for pharma, electronics, gems & jewellery.
- Slowdown in China → fall in raw material exports.
- Petroleum exports drop despite softening oil prices.
Key Factors Influencing:
- Exchange rates & rupee depreciation.
- Global economic trends (e.g., oil shocks, Middle East conflicts).
- Domestic demand for luxury & energy goods.
- Trade barriers (e.g., EU’s carbon policy).
Implications:
- Currency depreciation → costlier imports.
- Pressure on Forex reserves.
- The domestic industry may lose competitiveness if imports flood the market.
- CAD ↑ → may worry investors & rating agencies.
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