A patch up with Beijing would suit our interests

Paper: GS-II, Subject: International Relations, Topic: India and its neighbourhood, Issue: India- China ties.

Context:

There are signs of improved business ties after PM Modi–Xi Jinping meeting at BRICS Summit (2024). Upcoming SCO Summit in Beijing has potential stage for further engagement.

Current Restrictions:

  • Press Note 3 (2020): Investments from countries sharing land borders with India need government approval.
  • Sensitive Sectors (still restricted): defence equipment, nuclear energy, telecom are restricted from investments.

Recent dilution of restrictions:

  • India is considering easing restrictions on Chinese direct investments in non-sensitive sectors.
  • Visa issuance for Chinese citizens is becoming more liberal.

China’s Conciliatory Signals

  • Beijing hinting at willingness to open its market.
  • May reduce trade imbalances if India engages cautiously.

Rationale

  • Need for China’s Market & Goods:
    • India needs access to Chinese raw materials and intermediate goods.
    • US trade hostility increases dependence on Chinese inputs.
  • Technology & Know-how:
  • Potential benefits from China’s leadership in clean-tech industries and AI advancements.
  • Shared Growth Potential:
    • Asia’s economic promise relies on India–China cooperation.

Challenges in Engagement

Challenges in Engagement with Beijing:

Way Forward:

  • Engage China cautiously while diversifying supply chains.
  • Gradually reduce over-dependence to avoid strategic vulnerabilities.
  • Maintain strategic autonomy while working with QUAD and other Western partnerships.
  • Use rapprochement as a tactical tool to reduce tensions and secure economic benefits.

Conclusion: While mistrust and security concerns persist, a calibrated rapprochement with China offers India economic and strategic advantages. The challenge lies in balancing engagement with caution, leveraging cooperation for growth while safeguarding national security and strategic autonomy.

https://www.livemint.com/opinion/online-views/india-china-relations-narendra-modi-xi-jinping-press-note-3-wang-yi-galwan-clash-us-trade-hostility-ai-brics-summit-11755527364194.html

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