India’s Demographic Dividend as a Time Bomb

Paper: GS – II, Subject: Society and Social Justice, Topic: Social Sector- Human Resources, Issue: Challenges to India’s demographic dividend.

Context:

India has one of the world’s largest youth populations, with more than 800 million people below age 35. Traditionally considered an asset, this “demographic dividend” could become a demographic time bomb if not managed properly.

Key Highlights:

Changing Nature of Work:

Impact of Emerging Technologies:

  • Artificial Intelligence (AI) is reshaping jobs and work structures. Many new jobs will be AI-driven, requiring new skillsets.
  • Up to 70% of current jobs globally may be impacted and 30% could be automated.

Risk of Job Displacement:

  • World Economic Forum (WEF) predicts 170 million new jobs by 2030 with the displacement of 92 million jobs in the same period.
  • Net result is that Skill gap becomes critical national issue.

Challenges in Current System:

Challenges in Current System:

Youth Unrest: Disillusioned youth risk social unrest. Student civil disobedience or dissatisfaction may escalate if employability crisis persists.

Way Forward:

Way Forward:

Conclusion:

India stands at a crossroads: Harness the demographic dividend by aligning skills with future jobs or face a demographic disaster with mass unemployment and social unrest. There is an urgent need for decisive policy, rapid skilling, and mindset shift to turn the youth bulge into a driver of growth rather than instability.

https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/indias-demographic-dividend-as-a-time-bomb/article69985845.ece

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