Pakistan’s India war

Paper: GS – II, Subject: International Relations, Topic: India and its neighbourhood, Issue: India-Pakistan relations.

Context:

As India recently faced a brief military conflict with Pakistan in early May, it is Important to understand the recurring nature of these conflicts in a broader historical and civilisational context.

Key Takeaways:

  • Civilizational contrast: India’s civilisational legacy and secular democratic model stand in contrast to Pakistan’s ideological foundations.
  • Pakistan’s Hostile Posture: Pakistan has a consistent history of provoking India into conflict every few years by following a doctrine to “bleed India by a thousand cuts.”
  • Threat to India: Pakistan’s approach to India is shaped by a military-dominated mindset and rejection of India’s secular and democratic existence.Pakistan seeks to destabilize India through terrorism, proxy wars, and direct military engagements.
  • India’s Challenge: A peaceful, secular, and democratic India is an anathema to Pakistan’s ideology.India must always be prepared for conflict given Pakistan’s unpredictable behaviour.

Pakistan’s Current Political Landscape:

  • Military dominance: Pakistan is seen as a military dictatorship under the guise of democracy.The military retains real power; elections are manipulated, as seen in the case of Imran Khan.
  • Religious Extremism: Former Army Chief Asim Munir declared that Pakistan is a religious state, not a democracy.He asserted that Pakistan’s identity is opposed to Hindu values and traditions.

What Lies Ahead:

  • Religious Nationalism: Expected rise in religious nationalism in Pakistan and broader South-West Asia may encourage a resurgence of anti-India sentiments.
  • Escalation Dominance: Recent India-Pakistan clash showcased India’s ability to establish “escalation dominance.” Swift response capacity shown through use of military power in a short timeframe.
  • Cyber Capabilities: India displayed capability in electronic warfare during the recent conflict.This includes enemy jamming, evasion tactics, and technological superiority.
  • Technological Revolution in Warfare: Future conflicts likely to be shaped by advanced technologies like AI (Artificial Intelligence), Cyber warfare, Drone technology and Hypersonic weapons. India’s technological edge provides a strategic advantage but also raises the stakes for rapid escalation.
  • Changing Nature of Warfare:
  • Air-to-air warfare is evolving: Use of Rafale jets, S-400 air defence system, and Akash missiles.
  • Electronic countermeasures and “kill chains” have become critical components of modern conflicts.

Conclusion:

India must prepare for frequent provocations by Pakistan.No easy solutions exist and India needs constant preparedness.Strategic foresight, military readiness, and technological advancement are key.

https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/pakistans-india-war/article69637307.ece

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