India–Israel relations have largely overcome the ideological hesitations and geopolitical constraints of the past. However, their future trajectory will depend on how effectively both countries navigate emerging regional and global challenges. Discuss. (15M, 250 Words)

Answer:

India recognised Israel in 1950 but established full diplomatic relations only in 1992, constrained by Cold War alignments, Non-Aligned Movement commitments, and energy dependence on the Arab world. Over the last three decades, however, the relationship has transformed into a multi-sectoral strategic partnership, with bilateral trade crossing $10.1 billion and Israel emerging as one of India’s top defence suppliers.

Overcoming Ideological and geopolitical hesitations:

1.    From ideological distance to strategic engagement:

  • During the Cold War, India’s pro-Palestinian position and NAM orientation delayed full diplomatic ties despite recognising Israel in 1950.
  • The establishment of diplomatic relations in 1992 marked a decisive shift toward interest-based foreign policy.

2.   Institutionalising Cooperation:

  • Israel has remained among India’s top three arms suppliers for over two decades as per SIPRI.
  • Inductions include Phalcon AWACS, Heron UAVs, and Barak-8 missile systems making defence cooperation became the backbone of bilateral trust.

3.   De-hyphenation:

  • PM Modi’s 2017 visit, first by an Indian PM, symbolised policy de-hyphenation.
  • India now engages Israel and Palestine on separate tracks while reiterating support for a two-state solution.

4.   Diversification: The partnership expanded beyond defence into innovation-led growth, seen in the establishment of the India–Israel Industrial R&D and Technological Innovation Fund (I4F).

Emerging regional and global challenges:

Despite progress, future evolution is contingent upon managing several constraints.

1.    Regional Instability:

  • October 2023 Hamas attack and Israel’s Gaza operations intensified regional volatility.
  • Thus, balancing ties with Israel and maintaining credibility in the Arab world remains delicate.

2.   Arab world factor: Perceived tilt toward Israel could affect diaspora and energy interests as over 8 million Indians reside in Gulf countries, remitting more than $100 billion annually.

3.   Iran Factor:

  • Escalation between Israel and Iran could complicate India’s regional balancing.
  • India’s strategic investment in Chabahar Port may face difficulties as Israel views Iran as an existential threat.

4.   China’s expanding footprint: Israeli tech engagement with China may raise security sensitivities for India. China is Israel’s largest trading partner in Asia with over $25 billion trade.

5.   Stalled economic integration: Proposed India–Israel FTA remains unresolved while the trade basket still heavily dominated by diamonds and defence.

Navigating these challenges for the future:

1.    Deepening collaboration:

  • Expand cooperation in semiconductors, AI, quantum tech, green hydrogen.
  • Leverage Israel’s start-up ecosystem to complement India’s scale.

2.   Strengthening strategic autonomy: Continue de-hyphenation while upholding two-state solution by maintaining balanced engagement with Israel, Palestine, Gulf states, and Iran.

3.   Expanding economic engagement: Conclude FTA negotiations and diversify trade beyond defence and gems into high-value sectors.

4.   Enhancing people-to-people ties: As approximately 85,000 Jews of Indian origin reside in Israel, academic, cultural, and innovation exchanges can deepen societal connect.

Conclusion:

India–Israel relations have matured into a strategic partnership, but their future resilience will hinge on balancing innovation-driven cooperation with complex West Asian geopolitics.

‘+1’ Value Addition:

  • Israel has remained among India’s top three defence suppliers for over two decades.
  • India was the first non-Arab state to recognise the PLO.
  • The India–Israel Joint Working Group on Counter-Terrorism is one of India’s longest-standing structured CT mechanisms.
  • The Barak-8 (MR-SAM) missile system is a joint DRDO–Israel Aerospace Industries project.
  • India’s 2021 abstention at UNHRC on Gaza probe reflects strategic autonomy rather than bloc alignment.

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