Climate Change and its Impact on Tropical Cyclones over the Bay of Bengal

Why in News?

Experts have linked the increasing frequency and intensity of cyclones over the Bay of Bengal to a 0.5°C–1°C rise in sea surface temperatures over the past 50 years, driven by global warming, La Niña, and Indian Ocean Dipole effects.

Description:

  • Tropical Cyclones:
    • Intense low-pressure systems forming over warm ocean waters (SST ≥ 26.5°C).
    • Energy derived from latent heat of condensation.
    • Classified by IMD as Cyclonic Storm, Severe Cyclonic Storm, Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, etc.
    • The Bay of Bengal accounts for ~75% of India’s cyclones, while the Arabian Sea sees fewer but rising numbers recently.
  • Conditions Favouring Cyclone Formation:
    • Warm sea surface temperature (>26.5°C).
    • High humidity and unstable atmosphere.
    • Low vertical wind shear.
    • Coriolis force (absent near the Equator).
    • Pre-existing low-pressure disturbance.
  • Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD):
    • Difference in SST between western (near Africa) and eastern (near Indonesia) Indian Ocean.
    • Positive IOD → Warmer west, cooler east → enhances convection over Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal.
  • La Niña Effect:
    • Strengthens easterly trade winds and increases moisture convergence over the Bay of Bengal — favourable for cyclone formation.
  • Recent Cyclones: Hudhud (2014), Titli (2018), Michaung (2023), Montha (2025) — marked by high intensity and heavy rainfall.
  • Mitigation Measures:
    • Coastal ecosystem restoration (mangroves, wetlands).
    • Improved early warning systems and NDRF preparedness.
    • Implementation of National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project (NCRMP).
Tropopause

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