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Cloudbursts in India: Causes, Forecasting Challenges and Disaster Preparedness (Source: The Hindu)

Context

Recent cloudburst incidents in Jammu & Kashmir and the Northeast have renewed attention to these highly localized extreme rainfall events.

Cloudburst Forecasting and Disaster Preparedness

Explanation

  • A cloudburst, Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) is ≥10 cm rainfall within one hour over an area of about 20–30 sq. km.
  • It commonly occurs in mountainous regions due to orographic lifting, where moist air rises, cools, condenses into cumulonimbus clouds, and releases intense rainfall.
  • Cloudbursts often trigger flash floods, landslides, debris flows, and soil erosion.
  • They are difficult to forecast because they are highly localized, short-lived, mesoscale weather events, often beyond the resolution of numerical weather models.
  • Doppler Weather Radars (DWRs), Automatic Weather Stations (AWS), nowcasting, AI-based forecasting, and Mission Mausam aim to improve early warning systems.
  • Disaster impacts are amplified by poor drainage, deforestation, riverbed encroachments, and construction in hazard-prone zones.

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Cloudburst Forecasting and Disaster Preparedness

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