As globalisation retreats, can India adapt in time?

Paper: GS – II, Subject: International Relations, Topic: Global issues, Issue: Key Shift in the Global Order.

Context:

Globalisation is retreating amid geopolitics, protectionism, and supply-chain fragmentation. In this shifting global order, India must reassess its growth strategy, institutional strength, and preparedness for a more mercantilist world.

Key Highlights:

The End of Globalisation as We Knew it:

  • Definition: Globalisation was more than just free trade; it was a political system promoting liberalism, democracy, and global cooperation.
  • Shift to Mercantilism: A return to viewing trade as a tool of state power, prioritizing surpluses and seeing deficits as weakness.
  • Reasons for the Shift:
    • Unintended Consequences: Rising inequality (returns to capital exceeding wage growth) and manufacturing shifts led to populist backlash.
    • China’s Rise: China’s economic success without adhering to the multilateral order challenged the existing system.
    • Assertion of Sovereignty: Countries are prioritizing national interests and self-sufficiency over global cooperation.
India's Preparedness for the End of Globalisation

India’s Position in the New World Order:

  • The Dilemma: India is too large to ignore but too poor to be a major player.
  • Missed Opportunities: Failure to convert demographic advantage into productive capacity, leading to a sharply stratified society.

Areas of Potential Strength for India:

  • Digital Public Infrastructure: A leading domain for India.
  • Renewable Energy: Potential for growth and development.
  • Services Sector: Leveraging India’s expertise.
  • Democratic Decentralisation: Strengthening local governance.

India’s readiness for a post-globalisation world remains uncertain, as structural challenges in inequality, state capacity, and social cohesion persist, requiring stronger institutions and inclusive growth to succeed in an emerging mercantilist order.

Source: (The Hindu)

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