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Our Central Asia strategy needs less romance, more realism (The Hindu)

Paper: GS – II, Subject: International Relations, Topic: India’s relations with major powers, Issue: Recalibrating India’s Central Asia Strategy: From Historical Affinity to Practical Engagement.

Context:

Recently, India renewed its engagement with Central Asia through a Prime Ministerial visit to Uzbekistan and participation in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Kyrgyzstan. The region’s growing strategic autonomy, expanding partnerships and new connectivity routes require India to adopt a sustained, realistic and economically focused policy.

Key Takeaways:

India and Central Asia Strategy

Explanation:

Central Asia’s Changing Character:

  • The five republics are increasingly acting as an autonomous regional grouping rather than merely as former Soviet states.
  • Their cooperation has strengthened through consultative summits, settlement of border disputes and growth in intra-regional trade.
  • They have adopted a multi-vector foreign policy, maintaining relations with Russia and China while expanding engagement with the United States, European Union, Japan and Türkiye.

Shifting Geopolitical Balance:

  • Russia remains a major security partner, but the Ukraine conflict and China’s expanding economic role have weakened Moscow’s dominance.
  • China has built infrastructure and energy corridors through the Belt and Road Initiative.
  • Türkiye has transformed the Organisation of Turkic States into an instrument of political, economic and defence cooperation.
  • Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have expanded engagement with Western institutions, while the region is exploring closer links with Azerbaijan and the Caucasus.
  • The Iran conflict has increased the importance of routes across the Caspian Sea towards Azerbaijan, Türkiye and Europe.

Afghanistan and Security:

  • Expectations that Taliban-controlled Afghanistan would provide stable connectivity between South and Central Asia have not materialised.
  • Central Asian states now engage Kabul pragmatically while acting firmly against domestic extremist organisations.
  • India must cooperate on terrorism, radicalisation, narcotics trafficking and regional stability without making Afghanistan the sole basis of its Central Asian policy.

India’s Constraints and Interests:

  • India cannot match China’s infrastructure spending, Russia’s geographical advantage or Türkiye’s direct Caspian access.
  • The Chabahar Port and International North–South Transport Corridor offer alternatives, but tensions involving Iran and the United States reduce their predictability.
  • Central Asia remains important for India’s energy security, critical minerals, pharmaceuticals, digital services, education, defence cooperation and access to Eurasian markets.

Way Forward:

  • India should pursue commercially viable projects, regular high-level exchanges and reliable transport arrangements.
  • It should expand cooperation in healthcare, information technology, skill development, renewable energy and defence training.
  • Greater diplomatic flexibility towards Pakistan, Türkiye and Azerbaijan could widen India’s regional room for manoeuvre.

Conclusion:

India must recognise Central Asian states as autonomous partners pursuing diversified relationships, not as passive objects of great-power rivalry. A modest, continuous and economically grounded strategy will produce greater influence than occasional declarations unsupported by connectivity or investment.

Source: (The Hindu)

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