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Examine the causes behind the recent decline in India’s net FDI despite strong gross FDI       inflows. What are its implications for the economy?                                                (10 Marks)

Introduction

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) refers to long-term investment by foreign entities in productive assets of a country. While India has witnessed robust gross FDI inflows, its Net Foreign Direct Investment (Net FDI) has declined recently due to rising repatriation and outward investments, reflecting changing investment dynamics.

Body

Positive dimensions

  • Strong gross inflows show continued foreign interest in India’s market, digital economy, manufacturing and services.
  • Government measures such as PLI schemes, liberalised FDI norms, Make in India and Gati Shakti continue to support investor confidence.
  • Higher outward FDI also reflects Indian firms becoming global investors.

Challenges

  • Increased repatriation and disinvestment by foreign investors reduced net inflows.
  • Private equity and venture capital exits through IPOs and secondary sales increased capital outflow.
  • Global uncertainty, higher interest rates, geopolitical risks and valuation concerns affected long-term commitments.
  • Indian companies’ overseas investments further widened the gap between gross and net FDI.

Impact

  • Lower net FDI reduces stable external financing for the current account.
  • It may increase dependence on volatile FPI flows.
  • Pressure on rupee and forex reserves may rise during external shocks.
  • Employment, technology transfer and manufacturing expansion may be affected if greenfield FDI weakens.

Way Forward

  • Improve contract enforcement, tax certainty and regulatory predictability.
  • Encourage greenfield FDI in semiconductors, EVs, renewables and defence.
  • Deepen ease of doing business at the State level.
  • Convert short-term financial inflows into long-term productive investment.

Conclusion

India’s FDI story remains strong, but the fall in net FDI signals rising investor exits and changing capital behaviour. Policy must focus not only on attracting inflows but also on retaining long-term, job-creating and technology-rich investment.

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