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India is losing West Asia, but is not too late (The Hindu)

Paper: GS-II, Subject: International Relations, Topic: Agreements involving India and/or affecting India’s Interests, Issue: India’s Role in the Changing West Asia Security Order

Context

Recently, escalating regional conflicts and emerging defence partnerships involving Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan have altered West Asia’s strategic balance. India must reassess its regional policy to protect its growing economic and security interests.

West Asia security: India’s strategic reset

Explanation

Key Developments and Implications

  • Gulf countries are questioning the traditional American security umbrella amid growing threats from both Iran and Israel.
  • The United Arab Emirates favours engagement with Iran, while Saudi Arabia is considering deterrence through stronger security partnerships.
  • Pakistan’s mediation between Iran and the United States has increased its diplomatic visibility and influence in the region.
  • A Saudi–Türkiye–Pakistan partnership could combine Saudi finance, Pakistan’s military strength and Türkiye’s defence technology.
  • Changing American politics also makes permanent United States support for Israel less certain, complicating India’s reliance on Israeli strength.

Challenges for India

  • Excessive dependence on Israel and the UAE could weaken India’s relations with Iran, Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries.
  • Growing UAE–Saudi differences and the UAE’s involvement in regional conflicts create additional uncertainty for Indian interests.
  • Remaining passive exposes Indian sailors, energy shipments and trade passing through the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb.
  • India’s inability to protect nearby maritime interests could weaken its credibility as an emerging global power.

Way Forward

  • India should strengthen high-level engagement with Saudi Arabia while preserving balanced relations with Israel, Iran and the UAE.
  • It can promote confidence-building between Iran and Arab countries without formally presenting itself as a mediator.
  • Cooperation with Egypt can help protect India-bound shipping between the Suez Canal and Bab-el-Mandeb.
  • A diplomatic back-channel with Türkiye can communicate India’s concerns regarding its military relationship with Pakistan.
  • A Special Envoy for West Asia can coordinate India’s diplomatic, diaspora, economic and maritime interests.

Conclusion

India has not lost West Asia, but it risks losing diplomatic initiative. Strategic autonomy must now be supported by sustained diplomacy, maritime capability and bridge-building among competing regional powers.

Source: (The Hindu)

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